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Seagate ST16000NM000J 16 TB failure rate and reliability

– Not graded: too little data

Backblaze logged 269 drive-years on the Seagate ST16000NM000J from Q1 2023 to Q3 2026, with 171 in service at the end of that period. In that time 6 drives failed, an annualised failure rate of 2.23%.

That is too little running time to grade: we require 100,000 drive-days, and this model has 98,013. Treat the rate as a rough indication only.

Failures have risen: 2.55% over the latest 7 quarters against 1.38% before. Rising rates often mean a model is ageing.

Failure rate / year
2.23%
Average, all drives
1.52%
Drives in use
171
Drive-years
269
Failures
6
Capacity
16 TB
Type
HDD
Model number
ST16000NM000J

Failure rate by quarter

QuarterDrive-daysFailuresFailure rate / year
Q2 2023300.00%
Q3 20232,06700.00%
Q4 20233,51300.00%
Q1 20244,45100.00%
Q2 20244,97300.00%
Q3 20245,44600.00%
Q4 20246,07816.01%
Q1 20256,67700.00%
Q2 20256,88600.00%
Q3 20257,84714.65%
Q4 202510,08813.62%
Q1 202610,11713.61%
Q2 202614,22112.57%
Q3 202615,64612.33%

Single quarters with few drive-days swing widely; the overall figure above is the dependable one.

All 16 TB hard drives compared

GradeModelTypeSizeFailure rate / yearDrives in useDrive-yearsFailures
A Seagate ST16000NM002J HDD 16 TB 0.56% 463 1,607 9
B Western Digital WUH721816ALE6L4 HDD 16 TB 0.60% 26,751 87,781 529
B Seagate ST16000NM001G HDD 16 TB 0.62% 35,594 117,216 725
B Toshiba MG08ACA16TA HDD 16 TB 1.03% 38,772 121,800 1,260
B Toshiba MG08ACA16TE HDD 16 TB 1.14% 6,170 22,458 257
C Toshiba MG09ACA16TE HDD 16 TB 1.71% 1,009 703 12
C Western Digital WUH721816ALE6L0 HDD 16 TB 1.81% 2,896 10,953 198
D Toshiba MG08ACA16TEY HDD 16 TB 2.91% 4,767 19,015 554
– Seagate ST16000NM000J HDD 16 TB 2.23% 171 269 6
– Seagate ST16000NM005G HDD 16 TB 0.00% 25 94 0
– Toshiba MG11ACA16TE HDD 16 TB 0.00% 76 34 0